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Re: There is no happy ending for Bobby J – politicalbetting.com
I'm on the ground in Nevada. I've been reading Ralston's blog all week (as has anyone who is considering betting). The numbers are not good for the Democrats. However, and it's a big however, there are two changes that have happened since 2020. First, voter registration is now automatic with Drivers License renewal. No-one… -
Re: Starmer has better than a 13.9% chance of being next PM – politicalbetting.com
Yes, it wasn't actual law, but at one point the government was advising exercise of just one hour, max And at other moments you were only allowed to meet one other person, outside. And you couldn't sit on a park bench and chat together Looking back, our obedience was remarkable… -
Re: Only a fifth of Britons oppose putting animals on the bank notes instead of Churchill
There's one policy which does lead to increased investment, increased housing and increased subsequent economic activity. Road building. Its also something this country has done little of since 2000. Take a look though at the places where new roads have been built and you see alongside the new roads new housing, new… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » On the eve of the virtual Democratic convention new polling sh
Well hold on, isn't that showing that there has been a correlation? House building hasn't been sufficient so prices go up, that's hardly rocket science it is basic supply and demand. People here moan about HTB etc helping house builders, but by doing so its seen house building actually reach population growth levels in… -
Re: YouGov/Telegraph mega poll with forecasts for each seat predicts CON disaster – politicalbetting.com
I am, as some posters may have picked up, no great enthusiast for the Labour Party. But I think Burnham has done an excellent job as mayor of GM. I must admit, I was pretty wary of him when he came in (I thought his unelected predecessor, Tony Lloyd, was doing a pretty good job and that Burnham was just a big name without… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The next general election vote shares by party betting
The simple thing is Bercow has been Speaker during governments either of coalition or C&S and only, briefly, one majority government. This is important. Had their been 3 majority governments, he would not have been able to nor necessarily needed to do many of the things he did, because the Speaker interprets the rules of… -
Re: This can be classed as a bona fide Brexit dividend – politicalbetting.com
FPT It makes, in a great deal more detail, similar points to the ones I raised. "..The Speaker may not use his statutory obligation to administer the oath under 2 U.S.C. § 25 to arbitrarily delay seating a member when there is no dispute as to the election or qualifications and no practical reason why he is unable to… -
Re: Clarkson’s talk about becoming an MP, will it lead to diddly squat? – politicalbetting.com
It makes, in a great deal more detail, similar points to the ones I raised. "..The Speaker may not use his statutory obligation to administer the oath under 2 U.S.C. § 25 to arbitrarily delay seating a member when there is no dispute as to the election or qualifications and no practical reason why he is unable to… -
Re: In the next general election betting the Tories no longer odds-on to win a majority – politicalbetti
Its not simply not being the commuter belt for London which has always been true, what Help To Buy has done (and every Red Wall PBer from any Party says the same thing) has put a rocket under construction over here. Outside of the cities anywhere you drive in the Northwest (and from what Rochdale and Gallowgate and others… -
Re: Would Labour had an even bigger majority without this front page and strategy by the SNP?
Have you see this week's Newstatesman? Cover story: As the bohemia of Camden fades, its land value has spiked. The north London borough – once home to Amy Winehouse, Alan Bennett alongside his Lady in the Van and the very last of the Mohican-topped punks – has become a wonderland for property developers. Over the past… -
Re: There is now going to be a Westminster by-election which Labour could win – politicalbetting.com
I think @StillWaters nailed it, actually, half an hour ago There is literally nothing else Starmer can do. He has no ideas, so he cannot offer new ideas. He is profoundly timid, so he isn't going to do anything truly radical or brave. What is left is the common response of embattled PMs, a reshuffle. But, he is too weak to… -
Re: The Return of the King at 100/1? – politicalbetting.com
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Re: New poll brings comfort for Andy Burnham – politicalbetting.com
Wrong, it is a crime in its own right and has been for 26 years. This is the latest (and increasingly desperate) excuse for this travesty. That terrorism only exists as an aggravating factor - a lie because the CPS have discrete terrorism charges available to them. The fact is that criminal damage and terrorism are two… -
Re: I agree with David Gauke – politicalbetting.com
And for anyone babbling about 'levelling up' then it has been achieved. Traditionally, and roughly speaking, the south had plenty of jobs but unaffordable housing whereas the north had a shortage of jobs but affordable housing. Now the north has plenty of jobs and still has affordable housing. As I doubt this was planned… -
Re: It’s the housing costs, stupid? – politicalbetting.com
On topic: I hope TSE is right about UK politicians being punished for high housing costs. But that happens less often than I would like here in the US. For example: In this area (Seattle and most suburbs) housing is far more expensive because, decades ago, we passed a growth management act, which essentially limited new… -
Re: Vibeshift update – politicalbetting.com
They wouldn't be really expensive if significantly more land were available for housing. That's where 70% of the cost of a house is, up from 2% in the 1930s. Not because we've suddenly shrunk as a country, but because the government has banned most new building except in places where no-one wants to live, and has been… -
Re: Life after Sunak – Tory Leadership Contenders – politicalbetting.com
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Re: Why a change of leader might not help Labour – politicalbetting.com
Crikey. From the Chairman of the Tory Party Foreign donations are illegal. Politicians who funnel and hide unlawful money should face the full force of the law. The police must investigate Reform UK’s spokesman for Financial Affairs Robert Jenrick. The Conservative Party has also reported Mr Jenrick to the Parliamentary… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Key state by key state looking in detail at how tomorrow’s bat
The latest House poll has the Democrats ahead by 8% ie exactly the same popular vote lead as the GOP had in 2010 the last time the House changed hands. Trump's approval rating is 43%, the average gain for an opposition party since WW2 with a President' s approval rating under 50% has been 37 House seats ie clearly above… -
Re: Sauce for the goose – politicalbetting.com
Not if you read it in context. And of course also given what he’s likely to say tomorrow. But let’s assume you’re right. What’s the game? Giving the false impression to congress of an unprecedented multi decade criminal conspiracy. But hiding behind semantics. Why? Wtf is the purpose? I’d like to see Karl Nell in Congress…