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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Which will happen first? TMay to step down as PM or the UK to
They don't need to. 13 Parliamentary approval of the outcome of negotiations with the EU (1) The withdrawal agreement may be ratified only if— [...] (b) the negotiated withdrawal agreement and the framework for the future relationship have been approved by a resolution of the House of Commons on a motion moved by a… -
Re: By the pricking of my thumbs, something wicked this way comes – politicalbetting.com
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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The Conservative Party is pursuing profoundly un-conservative
I have some sympathy for David but I can't agree with his assertion that the Conservatives have always been cautious and pragmatic. As I see it, we tend to alternate between periods of stability and periods of crisis and the Conservatives have survived and thrived by knowing how to respond to each one. In the 30s, there… -
Re: I think the value might be with the Greens – politicalbetting.com
The problem comes back to "Not enough homes" overall. You can create housing by 1) Building it 2) Reducing the time and cost of travel to places where there is a surplus of housing 2) has largely been mined out, for the effected areas of the UK. We either need population reduction (see the more insane Reformat… -
Re: There’s a new poll in Gorton & Denton – politicalbetting.com
The cut in bus services is the biggest act of self-harm this country has done in decades. If you're disabled, or young, or just poor enough so it's difficult to build up the capital required for even a very basic car, the scope for you to be travel more than a couple of miles from your house has been massively reduced over… -
Re: Liberal Democrats winning here? – politicalbetting.com
FPT to Frank Booth: "What cannot be denied is that there has been no commensurate increase in health, education, transport or housing infrastructure. We are essentially muddling through with what we had before the change. Where there were 500 seeking those services, there are now 550. Probably more in centres of… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The Blairites offer Ed some advice
tim Osborne set two fiscal targets in 2010 as overriding government priorities. To balance the cyclically adjusted current budget (CACB), i.e. eliminate the 'structural deficit', within a five year rolling period and to see Public Sector Net Debt fall as a % of GDP within the 2015-16 fiscal year. A mid term snapshot… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Not only will there not be an EURef2, there can’t be
I think that something on equal treatment might have helped, but to be perfectly honest a lot of the problems could have been addressed (with extreme political difficulty) by British governments, such as tax credits and housing benefit. My personal dislike of the EU (as an institution) came from the way Lisbon was… -
Re: Former Labour councillor defects to Reform – politicalbetting.com
I’ve been a fan of sorting out our housing shortage for a while, but I’m starting to wonder if people aren’t putting too much store in housing as a solution for everything. Britain is struggling with quasi-stagnation since 2008 but so are most other developed countries, the one standout being the USA which happens to have… -
Re: The current bind the Republicans find themselves in – politicalbetting.com
FTP Of course we're too full. Look at the really nice parts of the country, (eg. Derbyshire Dales) and they have one thing in common. Low population density. I've lived in umpteen different places, the pleasantness of every place has been pretty much inversely proportional to the number of people who get to live there. My… -
Re: Why Starmer’s pivot might actually lose him votes not gain them – politicalbetting.com
Including flats doesn't change the data that much. From 2004 - 2021 the population of England and Wales has increased by almost 20%, while the number of houses and flats combined has increased by only 15%, a considerable shortfall. And that at a time when demographics are meaning fewer people per home. But its noteworthy… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » That was then. This is now.
Brandon Lewis has made the government's job more difficult: https://twitter.com/JGForsyth/status/1303651005184212994?s=20 The view of these peers is that Lewis’ comments about breaking international law and the fact that the bill is unlikely to get legislative consent motions from Holyrood, Stormont or Cardiff Bay will… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Punters rate a CON majority a bit higher than a week ago
FPT Housing Associations are not truly independent of government. In most cases the acquisition or construction of the housing association property is financed by grant or loan from local government or a national (devolved) public sector body (e.g. The Housing Corporation). Both the EU and the High Court have made rulings… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » If uniform swing still has some validity then LAB is holdin
Just catching up on some past threads and have read the Thanet S one with interest I went on walking tour of Ramsgate on Sunday (Ramsgate Blitz tours-very interesting!) so spent 2 hours walking around the town-predominantly either side of the High Street. These should be strong Labour areas and an area Farage would hope to… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The NHS is to the Tories what immigration is to Labour – a
@MaxPB [...continued] The 75% LTV is partly temporary as the banks carried forward from the financial crisis large proportions of their loan books with higher LTVs due to the practices of providing equity release loans, over 100% LTV loans, interest only loans, combined current and mortgage accounts etc.). Removing the… -
Re: ANALYSING LABOUR-LIB DEM TACTICAL VOTING SINCE 1983 – politicalbetting.com
Erskine May says he can? Maybe? (not all of section included) Ministerial statements 19.21Ministers have a presumptive right to make statements in the House on a range of topics within their ministerial remit. These may include policy and administration matters (the Speaker has ruled that such statements must relate to… -
Re: Undefined discussion subject.
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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Sporting Index open their general election seat markets
Several options, and it may well have been a combination of all of them. Firstly, despite some hyperventilating on here, it looked fairly likely to fail (based on rate of progress through the numerous amendments). Secondly, a HoL filibuster would very possibly be unpopular with the public (unelected house overruling… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Osborne’s Gauntlet: How does Labour respond?
Unelected Peers do not trust the Electorate Peers have been accused of showing “contempt” for British voters over the proposed EU referendum, saying the public cannot be trusted to make the right decision. Dozens of members of the House of Lords today attacked Conservative plans to set in law an in/out vote on Britain’s… -
Re: It’s easier being a Green MP than a Labour MP? – politicalbetting.com
I'd be interested in what Hodges' case is that Streeting is doing a good job as Health Secretary. Maybe he has to whisper it because it's not obvious that it's true? The House of Commons publishes key NHS stastistics and my summary of them would be: Waiting Lists - The gentle rate of decline that started after these peaked…
