Search
-
Re: Why all eyes should be on Maine on Tuesday – politicalbetting.com
Agreed it's all a little febrile at the moment. The one thing that looks really bad for ALL Governments irrespective of their political stripe is the perception they are not in control of events or the situation. Covid has tested this and it's interesting the public has tended to support the more stringent health measures.… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Some Trump (sore) loser bets
I'd disagree on quite a lot of that - on the basis that *consistency* of new build quality is very poor, partly due to the Building Regs inspection by sampling on estates. So one or two get built properly and the rest can be skimped. That can to some extent be mitigated by personal sweating of the detail as you have done,… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Ladbrokes open betting on all 57 LD seats and make the yell
No, no, no, Jack. George is a member of the unlanded gentry, a metropolitan Pauline seeking the approval of estate owning Etonians. He would never use the word "mansion" to describe a house. The Duke of Marlborough would not ask you to stay at "my palace" in Oxfordshire not Norfork "my castle" in West Sussex. Neil is… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » By-election in Newark as Patrick Mercer – Will Farage stand
That you are rather more elegant eloquently than the other PBTs here doesn't mean you aren't addicted to the Cameron snake oil. You seem to have forgotten to mention the UK's current account, productivity and home ownership trends among other things. Perhaps you'd also explain how we can have a deficit when Cameron has… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Suddenly what’s emerging as the key issue facing voters is
Evidence ? HEW is still negative to billions. http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/p...age-debts.html "The Bank of England said mortgage borrowers built up £10.4bn housing equity in the three months to September - extending to five years the period in which homeowners have increased their property equity rather than grow… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » So much has been happening politically and yet there’s so litt
Not many burglars would risk breaking into an occupied house in the middle of the night unarmed. Tougher sentences don't do any good except keep them off the streets for a bit longer. Most of these people have been in and out of jail all their lives. Therefore in principle I'm with the 61%, though the myriad of grey areas… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Is Philip Hammond on maneuvers, and should you be backing h
In Scotland solicitors continue to be paid off, surveyors have redundancies and estate agents go bust. Prices are not falling but the level of turnover is lower than it has ever been in my professional life (30 years now...sigh) and just cannot sustain the industry that built up around housing. Bank lending remains… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » This week’s PB/Polling Matters Podcast looks ahead to Iowa
What happens if no presidential candidate gets 270 Electoral votes? If no candidate receives a majority of Electoral votes, the House of Representatives elects the President from the 3 Presidential candidates who received the most Electoral votes. Each state delegation has one vote. The Senate would elect the Vice… -
Re: Winning the argument vs the other lot being useless – politicalbetting.com
There was that little window (a couple of hours?) where it looked like Amazon were going to put the tariffs as an explicit line on peoples' bills, and some got excited. It only lasted a couple of hours before he fell back into line. One of the bonkers things to watch has been the way that all these proper Masters of the… -
Re: Your reminder the betting markets are frequently wrong – politicalbetting.com
If this report is true, she has clearly accepted the 30 pieces of silver. And so the saddest of ends for her, abandoning her cause and comrades for self gain. At least when someone sells out on point of principle or ideology you can half forgive them, but not for self gain taking whatever it is they offered her. Vanilla… -
Re: Where is the American Leo Amery? – politicalbetting.com
In an open or contested convention, with Joe Biden out of the race, Kamala Harris starts out with a major advantage over other prospects. Because the Biden 2024 campaign has been functionally (if not legally as per DNC rules and state laws) the Biden/Harris campaign. For example, every campaign message and fundraising… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » David Cameron once said Dominic Cummings was a ‘career psychop
My wife is home schooling my daughter tomorrow. She has spent the weekend timetabling, lesson planning and printing study material. Everything has been planned out for school between 10am and 3pm in our house. She’s probably the only one in the country to do this! -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » At exactly 2200 on May 7th UK politics totally changed in t
The House of Lords needs to be abolished. No wisdom has come from it in many years (I think for over 75, but I may be wrong). In recent years the institution has merely been used as a reward for those that have made a political contribution. There are some awful appointments in the Lords. -
Re: Heat not a furnace for your foe so hot that it do singe yourself – politicalbetting.com
Currently global news stories in the US and US-satellite zone: * clearance of non-white immigrant tent dwellers in Dublin, as "streets cleaned" and victims "herded" on to coaches as the Guardian puts it, complete with a photo of clearance personnel wearing lilywhite hazmat suits; * clearance of pro-Palestinian student… -
Re: It’s a 41% betting chance that Truss won’t survive 2023 – politicalbetting.com
You may well be right. I only note that the only way I was able to afford a house in London was when prices had crashed after the last time the Tories screwed up the economy. Interest rates and mortgage rates then were way higher than even the reported 7% rates some are expecting and the amount I could borrow was pretty… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » It looks like Dave’s reshuffle is really on…
-
Re: You get what you vote for – politicalbetting.com
Great piece, RP. I’ve never been to Rochdale, and doubt I ever will. In theory though, it’s nestled nicely into the Pennines and is well-situated to be a prosperous commuting suburb for both Manchester and Leeds. I presume the housing stock is v poor, and the place has been de-invested to fuck. And brand “Rochdale” is… -
Re: As the days go by the Afghan crisis continues to dominate the front pages – politicalbetting.com
Last night I posted that it it appeared the US plan was that they hope the undertanding that they think they have with the Taliban would mean that, even if they called it a day in terms of the military led operation, that those eligible would still be allowed out by other means e.g. charters etc would still continue. In… -
Re: Poor Kemi Badenoch, the victim of the voting system – politicalbetting.com
Good news for lawyers Parents who give grown-up children and their partners large sums of money are increasingly having to use lawyers to claw it back after relationship breakdowns. Many parents will help their children on the housing ladder through gifts or loans. However, the Bank of Mum and Dad is increasingly hiring… -
Re: One week on and betting markets remain utterly convinced about Starmer winning a majority
I would take 4) but if Abbott's disciplinary process ended in December then I can't see how it can be true, it would have been sorted out by now. Let me propose 5) Starmer's team has proposed something that they genuinely thought was fair but Abbott genuinely thought was too humiliating to accept. The Frank Hester thing…
