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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » YouGov finds CON voters reluctant to blame Mrs. May over the t
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Re: Ed Davey’s cunning stunts worked but as for the betting scandal – politicalbetting.com
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Re: Make your predictions – politicalbetting.com
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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The biggest source of Farage’s support in Thanet South: non
FTPT Many people on zero hours contracts work a considerable, regular, number of hours. For years the number of people on zero hours contracts has been systematically underestimated through the Labour Force Survey, which (generally) requires the participant to identify their own employment status. When the government first… -
Re: Ayrshire hotelier Donald Trump becomes American president again – politicalbetting.com
There is, arguably, an alternative history where a narrow Trump win in 2020 might have been better for the US in the long run than the narrow Biden victory. He's have had exactly the same economic woes, dealt with them worse, and probably lost the GOP the presidency and both Houses of Congress, as Biden probably has now… -
Re: Starmer is in tune with the public – politicalbetting.com
Interesting. I had always seen it being a bit like a house of cards - once Australia in particular goes, the others will follow. In any event the debate has often been muted in recent years because it has long been accepted in NZ/AU/CA that this wasn’t a debate worth having until EIIR was gone. My assumption is that very… -
Re: Snap debate poll gives it to Tugendhat – politicalbetting.com
And as we saw at PMQs that has been a huge success! I keep driving past Salmond's house to see if he has respected the council planning decision to outlaw his large YES sign in his garden, He hasn't. -
Re: New poll has big majority for rejoin – politicalbetting.com
The current government are seeking closer arrangements with the EU following the Windsor accords but it has not had much profile recently. I am doing a trial in Aberdeen at the moment. It is of a person who, amongst other, more serious, things had been living here as a "French citizen" but who is in fact Algerian. He has… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Marf in the afternoon
In principle the extra room charge seems perfectly reasonable to me. Why should the state pay not just for the accomodation that those who are not maintaining themselves need but also additional accomodation that they don't? Why should those who need larger accomodation, such as those with young children be denied the… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » NEW PB / Polling Matters podcast: Silly season. What conspirac
That may be true for the midwinter meeting but I went one October when it was on the hard side of firm back in the early 1990s. First meeting of the season, opening race was a four runner selling hurdle. At the first, one fell and one refused. There has been a void race - a novice chase if memory serves - when none of the… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Welcome to the new politics where the young ones actually turn
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Re: In local elections week R&W, has LAB edging up again – politicalbetting.com
Under Rishi Sunak, housing policy has become a nimby’s charter. Mandatory targets for councils have been scrapped, effectively freeing local authorities from any meaningful obligation to build at all. Planning law empowers the shires to say no to almost any development they please. One in five councils do not have a local… -
Re: Reform are the favourites to win the most seats at the next general election – politicalbetting.com
Today, yes. The BBC has been embarrassed into reporting the story more prominently today. PBers were reporting this days ago. News often breaks here first yes, and the BBC reporting an hour after PB is quite common. Days later is not. -
Re: The first poll in the Runcorn & Helsby by-election – politicalbetting.com
Germany have done a deal on their defence fund which is great news, hopefully we start working with them ASAP along with France on filling gaps in continent wide security and intelligence while they clean house at their intelligence agencies for Russian infiltration which has historically been an issue. It would be good to… -
Re: What the public expects from the budget – politicalbetting.com
Well, waiting for this budget has been like waiting for godot with less sense spoken. Glad it will all be over in five hours or so. -
Re: London is becoming a no go area for the Tories – politicalbetting.com
I think the idea was to give someone who’s been renting from the council for 20 years, the same financial position as someone who’d been paying a mortgage for 20 years. The basic problem remains that the population has increased more than the housing stock for several decades. -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » WH2020: The betting markets move against there being a brokere
Biden doesn't have to die. Just appear out of it so that the 25th Amendment would apply. Presuming he was sufficiently with it to even pick his running mate. So Biden gets to the Convention with the majority of delegates. But the narrative in the media by then is that despite/because he has been hidden away from public… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Local By-Election Preview : October 8th 2015
Those following the competition for House Speaker. Kevin McCarthy, favorite to win, withdrew today - the day of the vote! John Boehner and Mitt Romney have called Paul Ryan urging him to run. Ryan has said he won't, and that he can best serve the country by staying as Ways and Means chairman. The vote has been delayed.… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Washington DC – the capital city where in democratic terms its
I would not feel too sorry for Washington DC, it has the highest average GDP per capita in the USA at $160 000. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_U.S._states_by_GDP_per_capita. Plus half the residents are either legislators or work for legislators in Congress or at the White House or a Government department anyway.… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Who’ll win the LAB/LD/UKIP Witney battle for 2nd place in t
What we are seeing is that the economy was actually in a stronger state in June than was thought at the time. There was a consensus then that a mild technical recession was likely by the end of this year or the beginning of next. Forecasts by both sides but particularly the remainers were made in that context. The…
