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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Yes he Khan – Sadiq’s a great 33-1 bet for London Mayor
@DavidL The pound is undoubtedly benefiting from its relative 'safe haven' status. If any, some or all of the following happen - Cyprus's banks are bailed out by Russia, the Italians form a working government and the Spanish banks don't fail - then the pound will weaken in response. Another reason for the pound's temporary… -
Re: We have a by election in North Shropshire – politicalbetting.com
She has not been imprisoned for greater than one year so cannot be removed under the Representation of the People Act 1981. She has also not been suspended from the House either for a month or more by the Standards Commissioner and there is no reason she cannot resume her work as an MP tomorrow and she will and would have… -
Re: Reshuffle betting – politicalbetting.com
When we bought our current house the mortgage was right on the edge of affordability and we really struggled towards the end of each month but within a few years some modest inflation and increased nominal earnings made it very affordable and we were able to start paying down the capital. My daughter has been determined to… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Failing to back the ambassador – the first mistake of the Bori
Everything that Darroch has said - and much worse - has been said in two published books by Michael Wolff, whom Trump allowed inside the White House, any by various former advisors and former members of the administration. Far from being controversial they are statements of the bleeding obvious and have been on the front… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » If Dan Hodges wins his bet with me then Ed will have to sta
Speccie exclusive: "Nadine Dorries has been given the Conservative whip back by Sir George Young, Coffee House can exclusively reveal. Sources in the Tory party tell me that the MP, who was suspended in November for appearing on the reality TV show I’m a Celebrity, Get Me Out of Here!, has just been told she can now return… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » If the Tory MPs are really focussed on gaining northern LAB se
Apologies if this has already been posted - but in these febrile times where we seem keen to furiously disagree with each other about absolutely everything, I think Remainers and Leavers can join in celebrating that John Bercow has been immortalised in a Belgian dance record:… -
Re: A year is a long time in politics. Your regular reminder that the betting markets do get it wrong. –
As I sit here in apparently plague-ravaged Newham where, so some would have you believe, I am fighting my zombie neighbours and stepping over the bodies of the newly deceased to scrap for the last loaf of stale bread (so I've been told), the only comfort I am allowed to draw from the impending catastrophe is that I'm glad… -
Re: Not long now before we are all focussed on Iowa – politicalbetting.com
‘It’s bleak’: string of family firms shut in Rishi Sunak’s Yorkshire seat https://www.theguardian.com/business/2023/jul/31/its-bleak-string-of-family-firms-shut-in-rishi-sunaks-yorkshire-seat ...In Richmond beleaguered shop owners talk of the cost of living crisis, energy bills, interest rates and Brexit all coming… -
Re: Will Sunak’s driving measures be been as a positive? – politicalbetting.com
Yes, the Tories should have been cutting spending straight after the end of the pandemic and put in hiring freezes all across the public sector and pushed through productivity based pay rises rather than union settlements. They're all on strike all the time anyway and a proper Tory government would have got something out… -
Re: Wanted: A PM who DID NOT go to Oxford – politicalbetting.com
Nothing wrong with having estates built around cars, real life is built around cars and this is the 21st century so of course we should be planning for cars to be a fact of life. My issue has been the lack of dedicated off road parking suitable for car charging in many estates nowadays. You very often get off road car… -
Re: The shifting tides: voting trends since 2005 – politicalbetting.com
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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Yesterday’s interviews could prove to have been Alex Salmon
I'm not sure if this has already been noted, but May2015 has a useful summary of the 'house effects' of the various pollsters: http://may2015.com/featured/how-much-do-pollsters-differ/ -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Do or Die? The trap the PM has set himself
My understanding of the law is that you can create a status quo situation that involves a change on a specified date. For example, consider signing a contract that agrees the purchase of a house. Once the contract has been signed the status quo becomes that the purchase will be effected on a specified date and yet, before… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » More worrying numbers for Team Theresa as doubts amongst punte
@bobajobPB Yes, people are certainly going off May (rightly so). But she is still more liked than Corbyn, despite his surge. It's London (and probably other safe Labour areas too) where Corbyn is more popular than May, and has been for a very long time. On the tax, I need assurances that my parents council tax (or whatever… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Henry G Manson says that in past fortnight we’ve seen a dif
It does seem very UKIP friendly where I live and the surrounding areas... I am sure it is to do with the daily commute through the shitholes of East London that makes people feel that way... Also Romford has a lot of immigrants now thanks to the Council housing people from Stratford in the new flats next to Queens… -
Re: If it is the economy stupid then Labour should sink further in the polls – politicalbetting.com
Has this been mentioned: Woman stuck for 18 months on an NHS ward evicted from her hospital bed https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c897ew0ekp4o An interesting example of how some 'problem people' can cause huge cost to the public services: The most recent data, from 2020-21, suggests a standard NHS hospital bed costs £345… -
Re: Johnson’s Nightmare November continues with another bad poll – politicalbetting.com
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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » PB Poll on when we’ll see Tory leads in the polls
Syria: More Updates Syria opposition figure in France with a remit to liaise with Western European nations believes some kind of statement is due from the Friends of Syria countries within 48 hours. After that (or maybe even before), its likely to be the noisy part unless someone blinks. Problem is, how reliable are some… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Now EdM is in a standoff with the biggest union baron of th
This will no doubt cause a fuss. http://www.telegraph.co.uk/health/healthnews/10016521/GPs-blamed-for-crisis-in-out-of-hours-health-care.html Jeremy Hunt will say “disastrous” changes to GPs’ working hours have led to an extra four million people attending hospitals annually, a situation he will demand is reversed. The… -
Re: Trump making surprise recovery in the WH2020 betting even though most pollsters have double digit Bi
No that is not true, the executive branch in the US really will be able to get more of its legislation through if it has a Congress that is from the same party, you only have to see the recent government shutdowns under Trump and Obama when the party opposing them controlled the House to see how clashes have become…
