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Re: Why Ayatollah Khamenei should follow the betting markets (if he's still alive)
I'd say the initial strategy will be as per Ukraine in Russia and Russia in Ukraine: increase vulnerability by making them use their defence missiles. Plus if the US and Israel are planning to o after all the stocks in their storage spots, it perhaps makes sense to use a signifi9cant number now. Even after the limited… -
Re: An update on Donald Trump’s chances on winning the Nobel Peace Prize – politicalbetting.com
It was an internal briefing to Israeli media, which they've rowed back on, noted by Times of Israel that it does not include bodies still not recovered from the rubble so it is an underestimate https://www.timesofisrael.com/idf-believes-70000-gazans-killed-in-war-as-claimed-by-hamas/ -
Re: Punters continue have more faith in Zack Polanski than Kemi Badenoch – politicalbetting.com
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Re: Very briefly punters had more faith in Polanski than Badenoch – politicalbetting.com
I don't think it does. Certainly it doesn't dig into how far behind the Tories were, but nothing in it suggests what the split was, anymore than it suggests Green and Reform got 35% each. -
Re: It’s not a good win for Reform but a great win for the Greens – politicalbetting.com
Labour and the Greens combined got 24,344, whereas Reform got 10,578. However the Labour Green vote was split the winner would win be at least 1,594 votes ahead of Reform. They couldn't have won by a single vote -
Re: What will this betting market look like tomorrow morning? – politicalbetting.com
The worst result for Labour would be coming third behind the Greens and Reform followed by fines for their tactics. -
Re: As the polls open in Gorton & Denton here’s the latest betting – politicalbetting.com
The vulnerable are already at risk under the current system where a blind eye is often made to the law. People are being coerced at this very moment, in all sorts of ways. The proposed bill introduces many safeguards and clarifies the law. The palliative care argument is bogus and is a deflection. Respect democracy. It's… -
Re: The influence of Political betting is causing problems in Gorton & Denton – politicalbetting.com
“Gorton & wherever” Den near farmstead. Question is what’s in the den? -
Re: This feels sub-optimal for Reform – politicalbetting.com
I also live pretty close to the Gorton end, and have seen both Labour and Green groups, but nothing of Reform. Probably not terribly fertile ground for them at this end tbf. -
Re: All right stop, collaborate and listen, ICE is back with my brand new invention
3 pm Eastern Standard Time (EST) in Washington, D.C. is 8 pm Greenwich Mean Time (GMT) in the UK. -
Re: Is this confidence or hubris from Starmer? – politicalbetting.com
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Re: Some match bets for Gorton & Denton – politicalbetting.com
Who are the unit arresting Mandelson? (What is the piece of kit on the chest LHS?) The women police have enormous tote bags. https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/cew8jde9pxqt#player -
Re: The anti-science era – politicalbetting.com
Royal London Short Term Money Market, will get you north of 4% and very low risk. -
Re: The public strongly support Starmer on Iran – politicalbetting.com
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Re: Restore are keen followers of the betting markets – politicalbetting.com
I don't think it's a matter of strategy. The tell is that, if Reform thought they were likely to win the by-election, Farage would be on the ground in the constituency so that he would be associated with the victory. Instead he's on the other side of the world so that when the by-election is lost he can say it was always a… -
Re: There’s a new poll in Gorton & Denton – politicalbetting.com
There’s a difference between the lifestyle choice of the well off and costs acting as a brake for the less well off, which was my point. They so and making them higher does not help. -
Re: What To Watch Out For Now – politicalbetting.com
The numbers are far too small for a ward-by-ward breakdown. Has anyone worked out the constituency-wide aggregate? Edit: oh, there's a new thread, maybe it's on there. -
Re: £12 million pounds well spent – politicalbetting.com
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Re: Finishing last in Gorton & Denton – politicalbetting.com
What that man will do to keep Epstein out of the news. I was interested that the UK had refused to allow American bases here to be used for these attacks. Has Starmer found a back bone at last? -
Re: Tactical voting ahoy – politicalbetting.com
Trump not liking the Iranian boss class doesn’t make him our friend. He doesn’t know what a friend is.