Search
-
Re: As Biden’s price goes past 4 on Betfair this maybe a long week – politicalbetting.com
1. Well, although there's currently an American rat currently still hanging on in the White House, the good news is that the Norwegian rats recently occupying My House don't seem to have done much damage to my kitchen overnight. I hope they've taken the bait. 2. It seems to me that US polling is just not as refined as UK… -
Re: A dangerously illiberal idea – politicalbetting.com
CNN just called Ohio District 9 for the Dems. House position is now Reps 218, Dems 213. Four races still to call - Reps leading in three, Dems in one. In three the lead is under 1,000 votes and Dem position has been steadily improving in all three as late mail ballots come in. Other race is Alaska where Reps lead by 7,500… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » This week’s Politicalbetting/Polling Matters podcast puts t
Two people working 40 hours a week on 7.50 an hour have a gross household income from work of £600 a week or c. £30,000 a year. Why are we subsidising their income at all..? What would be good to see is a graph covering say 5 or 6 years showing how the same couple have been affected from 2011 to 2017 by the various changes… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » It’s time for the Tories to pick a candidate for Buckingham
Thank you for the header. This bit stood out for me - “ The other is in his inadequate response to claims of bullying and harassment within the House, which again should, of itself, have been enough to prompt his departure.” I know that Brexit is the cause celebre du jour but governments are big and brutal enough to look… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The London election polling test finds that LAB was overstated
The issue in Australian politics is that both main parties are socialist. It comes from the combination of compulsory voting, three year parliamentary terms, AV and the Senate which has equal powers to the lower house. This is probably a dream scenario for some, but in reality it means that every discussion is of the… -
Re: The latest White House race betting – politicalbetting.com
Whereas of course had the Conservatives been re-elected everything would have been sunshine and roses with big tax cuts and spending increases. The Conservatives caused this mess and did the equivalent of sfa about it. That poor can has had more kicks than a 1970s midfielder. Okay, how to move forward? Assuming the "hole"… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Many congratulations to those who called it right
There have been some magic moments over the last 24 hours, but this is pretty special @D_Blanchflower: Congrats to those who called it right I need to eat some humble pie with @JohnRentoul and @dojhodges & best to Tories on a stunning victory HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Latest Ipsos-MORI poll sees LAB lead down to 3 points and E
So is Shappsy grossly incompetent or a bare-faced liar? The Tory party chairman, Grant Shapps, has described as an "absolute disgrace" a call from the United Nations for the government to scrap the so-called bedroom tax. Accusing Raquel Rolnik, the UN special rapporteur on housing, of having an agenda, Shapps said he had… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Johnson’s phantom majority: why we’re heading for a Christmas
The practical effect is that another PM has agreed another deal with the EU that they are not entirely comfortable with and then failed to get it through the House of Commons. There is a real risk at that point that the deal falls apart. The EU will want evidence that this is actually going to happen. A decision not to… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The LD leadership race where NOT being anti-immigration cou
@marqueemark The abuse of "asylum seeker" status is endemic. It has got to the point where even making a claim of asylum is as good as it being granted, given the monumental backlog and then the difficulty in repatriation even after any eventual finding against the claimant. And that is a story that gets back to those who… -
Re: The front pages after a dramatic day – politicalbetting.com
The adjustment period, while mortgages are expensive, but so are houses, and landlords exiting the market drive up rents, are going to be horrific. I can see a state in 5 years’ time, where property prices have dropped 30-40% in real terms, more social housing has been built, and investors have mostly sold up. That will be… -
Re: Le Pen is not mightier than the sword of truth – politicalbetting.com
Totally off topic: Tomorrow has three very significant elections in the US. The most important one is probably the Wisconsin State Supreme Court, where Elon Musk has been paying $100 to voters to sign a petition (that basically agrees to vote for a candidate), *plus* he's giving away $1m to people who turn up to rallies.… -
Re: How Keir, Rishi and Nicola are viewed in Scotland – politicalbetting.com
I'd say that's more like pre-2006/2007 prices for their properties for people to feel comfortable. Depending a little on local markets. The one that's hurting renters is probably the not-very-publicised cash-terms freeze on housing benefit / LHA whatever you call it, which has seen it frozen in cash terms since 2019, when… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The big July polling news: The decline of UKIP and the laun
I think the Home Office got the idea from the BBC. The van is very similar to the Television Detector Vans and rumoured to be just as effective: The BBC states 'television detector vans' are employed by TV Licensing in the UK. Besides claims of (usually undisclosed) sophisticated technological methods for the detection of… -
Re: A 10/1 and a 6/1 tip to start your new year – politicalbetting.com
Happy new year everyone! Hope 2026 is better than 2025. I think I'll be posting a lot less over the next year, this place isn't the same without some of the characters we've lost. I've realised that PB has simply become a haven of "centrist dad" opinion and we've lost actual left and right wing commenters like… -
Re: Now a move to exclude party members from leadership elections – politicalbetting.com
-
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » PB Nighthawks is now open
Since ICM's poll confirms that there has been no noticable shift in almost a year: Events to have had no noticable effect on the polls (via Wikipedia): Bob Diamond resigns as the Chief Executive of British bank Barclays following a scandal in which the bank tried to manipulate the Libor and Euribor interest rates systems.… -
Re: Not the performance of a government that is going to be re-elected – politicalbetting.com
This is why Hoyle should go. Whatever the rights and wrongs and what happened, a significant amount of bad feeling has been generated and the House should have confidence in the Speaker. I like Hoyle, and he is a significant improvement over his predecessor, but this has happened on his watch and he needs to take… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Ashcroft Rochester poll has Reckless on course to win next
Indeed and she has told the House numerous things in the past which have turned out to be inaccurate. I believe she has had to formally apologise at least twice for misrepresenting issues. Frankly I wouldn't take May's word for anything given her time at the Home Office has been such a foul up. -
Re: Another October 2008? – politicalbetting.com
One of the problems i I agree strongly about those at the very bottom (or near bottom), but I don’t think even those who got on the property market in 2010 are really winners. They tended to buy already over-valued properties, and as I said, had to over-leverage themselves to do so. House price inflation of course has…