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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » PB/Polling Matters podcast: Is a Tory landslide inevitable? An
I am going to stick my neck out on this one and say that they are calling this one wrong. While much publicity has been given to those many remainers who feel so strongly that they want to see another EU Referendum and the decision unturned, there are also many who have accepted the decision and have got behind team UKplc.… -
Re: Bad news for people laying a 2022 general election? – politicalbetting.com
No but there is the rule that the PM enjoys the majority of the house. We have never ever in modern politics been in a position where anyone has ever tried to test the roles being divorced (other than for temporary reasons), but surely if the Conservative party removed Boris as leader and then communicated to HMTQ that… -
Re: Starmer can become PM without LAB making a single gain – politicalbetting.com
Brighton has always been popular with London commuters. But WFH means it is even more popular - they can live down here, and not have to spend money and time commuting to London every day. Going up to London one or two days a weeks is a doddle compared with full-time commuting. On the downside, of course, it means that… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » NEW PB / Polling Matters podcast: What LAB and CON party membe
As the Great She Elephant rightly said " you can't buck the market ". There is no majority in the House of Commons for ' no deal ' and hasn't been since the 2017 General Election. That's why Business has been promised a transition for well over a year and no serious ' no deal ' preparation has been done. All that's now… -
Re: Trump still rated as a 36% chance for the GOP nomination – politicalbetting.com
I'm not sure whether, say, a greater degree of gustiness is more problematic than a higher mean wind speed. However, most of the time when a new wind generation forecast has been set it's been when a storm has gone by. So, although peak winds in small areas might be so strong they have to shut turbines down to protect… -
Re: We’ve got another month of this in Georgia – politicalbetting.com
Listening to a fair amount of UK media coverage thew mid terms are being termed as a Republican failure. Fact: They have gained. Whether its less than some projections, they have gained both in numbers are power by taking the House. As regards Trump, whilst we have long history of demonising him on here, and many will go… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The 2019 St John PB Christmas Crossword
Of course he is a millionaire. :-D Nearly a 2m house and nearly 20 years as a WC. From my point of view they have been fulminating on about taxing unearned wealth for the last period, and taxing the barstewards who have it, but don't seem to want stories about their own unearned fortunes :blush: . MPs can't have second… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The Conservatives must join and win the battle of ideas
Thank you David - I trust your son's health has improved. This is the critical point: Those people need to be able to buy their own house and put down roots; they need to know that their investment in education is worth-while; they need to believe that the thrifty will not be disadvantaged in their old age as against the… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Why I have had a punt at 16-1 that Theresa May will be next
Evening all :) On-topic, it occurs to me that if Cameron remains Conservative leader until May 2015, he'll have had nearly a decade in the job outlasting the likes of John Major and equivalent to the leadership tenure of Edward Heath. Heath is much-maligned these days but in June 1970 he led the Conservatives to a clear GE… -
Re: Don't laugh but I'm betting on Jeremy Corbyn or Zarah Sultana becoming PM before 2030
Found this on a quick google In Peru, so many ex-presidents have been accused of crimes that the country has designated a small prison specifically to house them. It's a symbol of corruption, but also of political dysfunction. https://www.npr.org/2023/07/08/1186632810/perus-special-jail-for-ex-leaders-is-all-full-up It's a… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Starmer’s ratings are generally getting better as the number o
This has been my confusion with this virus all along and lockdown. This chap has not left the house for weeks apart from a bit of exercise yet somehow he has got the virus, fortunately with no symptoms. Its very hard to undertsand how it is possible for him to get infected. -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Tonight sees biggest round of local by-elections so far this y
ITV joining the hysteria. Reporter saying Trump had promised to give Washington a cardiac arrest and no doubt that has been achieved but it is shocking and with disbelief that the White House has done this. Trump needs to do more of these press conferences until the MSM accept that their World has changed -
Re: He’s making a list, he’s checking it twice, – politicalbetting.com
Well we have the new Willow Bakery which has been a roaring success. So it’s not all Greggs and Coopland 👍 Not a humblebrag but when I look online my council ward is not really deprived at all. The town is and around the Avenues, but where we live doesn’t class as deprived. It seems bizarre, on the face of it, wealthy… -
Re: Damning polling for Sunak – politicalbetting.com
Grudgingly my view is yes, at least for the first lockdown, because I am pretty convinced the NHS would have come close to near total collapse (or even might have done so) if not, which would have had significantly worse outcomes than if not. Subsequent lockdowns, I am on the fence somewhat. The government fluctuated… -
Re: Protecting Patterson – the Tory gift to the Opposition – politicalbetting.com
And more interest in the market because lockdowns and WFH have changed (or brought forward) many homeowners' plans - so that there has been a boom in houses, property with gardens, and in rural or scenic locations, as well as homes with room for a 'home office', at the expense of smaller properties without open space,… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » David Herdson looks at the US budget crisis and wonders whe
Wiki and others tell us that the House has initiated impeachment proceedings 64 times since 1789 with 19 resulting in the House passing Articles of Impeachment Two presidents: Andrew Johnson, Democrat/National Union, was impeached and acquitted by one vote in 1868 after violating the then-newly created Tenure of Office… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Sunday Morning Polling Round Up
A gentle rise in house prices is not a bubble.Shrp rises have been an inner London phenomenon. The rise in bond yields is a positive sign of normality returning to interest rates, 3% being low by historical standards. The rise in Bond yields has the effect of greatly reducing the deficit of defined benefit pensions… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » 11 weeks of EURef polling and all but two of the surveys on
FPT @Cyclefree An OTR natter sounds fun... I will even buy you lunch ;) FPT @Sean_F BTL's not a bad thing per se. But the challenge is that, with low interest rates, yield hungry investors, tax-offsets and the availability of debt financing, BTL demand has been a significant component in driving house prices beyond the… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The inter-generational gap: The Pinch and the Punch
That’s the key to the housing problem. There’s nothing else making returns with interest rates on the floor, which is why BtL has been so popular over the past decade. Signs are that with stock market gains on the back of the Brexit pound devaluation and increased stamp duty this is turning slowly around, but until there’s… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The PM will invoke Article 50 next week with the country still
For those who thought this morning that 90 minutes was too long for the House of Commons to question the Prime Minister on the death of a police officer, three other innocent people and the justified killing of a terrorist who attempted to attack our democracy, they may now be reassured that prior to such questions the…