Hi Andy, I've also had a bet on the Conservatives to win - at first I thought Reform would harm their vote but I understand quite a few Reform voters intend to vote Tory - the Green candidate wi… (View Post)

Westminster Voting Intention: RFM: 29% (+3) CON: 20% (+1) LAB: 18% (-4) LDM: 14% (+1) GRN: 12% (-3) SNP: 3% (+1) Via @tweetfreshwater , 9-10 May. Changes w/ 10-12 Apr. (View Post)

Someone who is "angry" with Labour (View Post)

Are you sure? Gorton & Denton voters = 77,501 Turnout 47.62% = 36,906 57% White 43% Ethnic 36906 x 57% = 21,036 Multiply by 75% = 15,777 Reform got 10,578 so obtained 50.30% of White votes. That … (View Post)

Reform could never win this seat in my opinion - only if turnout in Denton is 80+% and 35% elsewhere (View Post)