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Australia's far-right party (One Nation) struggles to reach 10% of the vote, and is currently around 8% in the polls. The reason is that there is a bipartisan consensus on maintaining very tight cont… (View Post)

The United States is providing a real-life demonstration of the superiority of Parliamentary systems of government. If a UK Prime Minister tried to defy the courts then they would be dismissed by the… (View Post)

Allan Lichtman has also called it for Harris. He's been more accurate than Nate Silver (he called 2016 for Trump). (View Post)

I am far from convinced that these prolonged leadership races which seem to go on and on are healthy thing for a party. The problem is that if you involve the membership then you have to factor in th… (View Post)

After removing undecideds, Truss is on 68%, 69%, 65% & 69% in the most recent 4 polls from ConHome, Opinium, techne & Yougov. The simple average of these 4 polls is 68%. Truss is currently pr… (View Post)