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FPT Opposition parties cycle through opposition leaders a lot more frequently than governing parties, because the members (both parliamentary & ordinary) are a lot more dissatisfied about being i… (View Post)

I think Rushdie himself would be utterly horrified if the attack on him is used as argument for a new Trump presidency or a revival of the extreme Right. Rushdie is a liberal & a democrat. (View Post)

The related bet "Will Trump run in 2024?" has Yes on 1.29. I just do not see the Republican Party primary voters rejecting Trump if he actually decides to run. The fate of the 10 Congressio… (View Post)

The FBI raid won't hurt Trump's chances of getting the Republican nomination & it might even help him a lot by energising his supporters. The people who'll vote for him in the primaries don't rea… (View Post)

Also interesting that Russian state media is having an absolute meltdown over the FBI raid. https://www.thedailybeast.com/russian-state-medias-response-to-the-mar-a-lago-raid-is-a-spectacle-you-dont-… (View Post)