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The related bet "Will Trump run in 2024?" has Yes on 1.29. I just do not see the Republican Party primary voters rejecting Trump if he actually decides to run. The fate of the 10 Congressio… (View Post)

The FBI raid won't hurt Trump's chances of getting the Republican nomination & it might even help him a lot by energising his supporters. The people who'll vote for him in the primaries don't rea… (View Post)

Also interesting that Russian state media is having an absolute meltdown over the FBI raid. https://www.thedailybeast.com/russian-state-medias-response-to-the-mar-a-lago-raid-is-a-spectacle-you-dont-… (View Post)

I think a Beto Dem nomination is highly contingent on whether he wins the Texas governorship. If he is able to somehow score an upset win then he'll be the new hero of the Democratic Party. But if he… (View Post)

The US considers Crimea to be part of Ukraine & it's not included in the veto on attacks on Russia. (View Post)