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Re: Is political betting influencing Trump’s White House? – politicalbetting.com
Whilst I take your point, your point consisted of a AI-generated picture of a woman with a white feather. This did not speak to my point that war is upcoming, we are woefully ill-prepared, and we nee… (View Post)1 -
Re: Is political betting influencing Trump’s White House? – politicalbetting.com
Well yes, but "thinking it through properly" has to take account of the predicted wars. I think there will be a China-Taiwan war in 2027 (next year!) because Xi's been saying that for … (View Post)2 -
Re: Note the time and date, Starmer does a funny – politicalbetting.com
No, no, no, no! It has been established since (from memory) the late 2010s that the error from British opinion polls is not derivable from the sample size, because of the self-selection and weighting… (View Post)2 -
Re: Note the time and date, Starmer does a funny – politicalbetting.com
That was me. The number in the subsample is not relevant. The weights are. If the poll is weighted then the weights being applied will be national weights, so the subsamples are inaccurately weighted… (View Post)1 -
Re: It’s not easy being Greenland – politicalbetting.com
Twenty-minute video about why Windows 11 is bad: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zKjo8Oc2qLk (View Post)1