That's plausible. Curtice's theory only works in areas where there are enough Greens and Cons to make a difference. In areas where there weren't any/many before the election, it's… (View Post)

Also a good point. I'm forgetting DidNotVote (DNV)->Ref switchers (View Post)

Regarding the Greens, Ben Walker/Britain Elects points out that they are doing well given that the overnight results are from areas not good for them, and that the more demographically favorable for … (View Post)

Perhaps a bar chart may be of use? Possibly one with an arrow? (ducks) (View Post)

The final scores on Oxford City Council, combining tonight’s 24 elections with the 24 from 2024, are: 🌹 Labour 20 💚 Green 13 🔶 LibDem 9 🟪 IOA 4 ◻️ Ind 2 This gives the Greens and LibDems a chance… (View Post)