Well yes, but "thinking it through properly" has to take account of the predicted wars. I think there will be a China-Taiwan war in 2027 (next year!) because Xi's been saying that for … (View Post)

No, no, no, no! It has been established since (from memory) the late 2010s that the error from British opinion polls is not derivable from the sample size, because of the self-selection and weighting… (View Post)

That was me. The number in the subsample is not relevant. The weights are. If the poll is weighted then the weights being applied will be national weights, so the subsamples are inaccurately weighted… (View Post)

Twenty-minute video about why Windows 11 is bad: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zKjo8Oc2qLk (View Post)

(narrator: viewcode is currently resisting the urge to rhapsodise about the genuinely beautiful SFX in Moonraker, the last hurrah of British modelmaking) (View Post)