I think it's Helmut Norpoth whose prediction method looks at primary votes. If Vance continues to hoover up Rep votes, and the Dems keep floundering, we have to start thinking about Vance as Prez (View Post)

Very black pot calling the slightly less very black kettle slightly less black. Vantablack shares soar. (View Post)

In fairness to David Cameron, his 2015-2016 ministry was quite well handled. The Referendum was on a matter of national importance, yet it was handled remarkably well. The vote was not rigged and was… (View Post)

These days, they just might. * McSweeney: "Oi, Labour backbenchers! I want to abolish democracy for a bit. U OK with that?" * Back benchers, after asking Grok: "Yeah, OK (goes back to … (View Post)

I'm currently going thru Jonathan Sumption's first two non-history books, "Trials of the State: Law and the Decline of Politics" and "Law in a Time of Crisis". He makes … (View Post)