viewcode
viewcode
Reactions
-
Re: North and South – politicalbetting.com
Tariffs, controlling interest rates, imposing credit card rate caps, encouraging unions. We are so focussed on Trump's social conservatism we forget that his industrial policy is by British stan… (View Post)1 -
Re: Is political betting influencing Trump’s White House? – politicalbetting.com
Whilst I take your point, your point consisted of a AI-generated picture of a woman with a white feather. This did not speak to my point that war is upcoming, we are woefully ill-prepared, and we nee… (View Post)1 -
Re: Is political betting influencing Trump’s White House? – politicalbetting.com
Well yes, but "thinking it through properly" has to take account of the predicted wars. I think there will be a China-Taiwan war in 2027 (next year!) because Xi's been saying that for … (View Post)2 -
Re: Note the time and date, Starmer does a funny – politicalbetting.com
No, no, no, no! It has been established since (from memory) the late 2010s that the error from British opinion polls is not derivable from the sample size, because of the self-selection and weighting… (View Post)2 -
Re: Note the time and date, Starmer does a funny – politicalbetting.com
That was me. The number in the subsample is not relevant. The weights are. If the poll is weighted then the weights being applied will be national weights, so the subsamples are inaccurately weighted… (View Post)1