Fairly similar to the latest UK-Elect prediction (Labour 420, Con 123, LD 57, SNP 16, Ref 8 (https://www.ukelect.co.uk/HTML/forecasts/20240703ForecastUK.html) except with Reform UK on a significantly… (View Post)

Whether the Tories go under 100 seats depends on whether forecasting assumptions are correct as well. There is no right or wrong answer in advance, only after the election. We're all guessing (althou… (View Post)

"Which candidates have been disowned" doesn't yet feature in the UK-Elect forecasting algorithm. Perhaps it should! :smile: (View Post)

For those who didn't see it mentioned somewhere in the middle of the previous thread, the latest UK-Elect forecast has now been released at https://www.ukelect.co.uk/HTML/forecasts/20240703ForecastUK… (View Post)

The latest UK-Elect forecast has now been released at https://www.ukelect.co.uk/HTML/forecasts/20240703ForecastUK.html. (UK-Elect has been one of the most accurate pre-election forecasts at several p… (View Post)