For any of you who haven't discovered it, Andrew Teale's local election site is outstanding: http://www.andrewteale.me.uk/leap/ It certainly is.TYhe problem of visiting all the Cindividual is tyat fo… (View Post)

Mike you are right to say "we simply dont know" how UKIP will perform on Thursday. The difficulty is that of translating share into seats -the old LIb Dem problem. If UKIP polled their curr… (View Post)

The 2015 GE is shaping up to be truly fascinating.The coalition partners are likely to be still sufffering from PCS (Poisoned Chalice Syndrome.The official opposition which should have double the lea… (View Post)

The County Coucil elections have very skewed national vote shares becoase of the weakness of Labour in rural England and the stregth of Indpendents.This gives the Lib dem share a boost. So in the 200… (View Post)

I posted earlier today that UKIP id surpringly well in 2009 in terms of second places and vote shares over 29%.Building on this 100 seat gains largely from the Tories is not out of the question. I wo… (View Post)