I think there are very good arguments for non-proportional voting systems where larger parties get more than their proportional share of the vote. I think there are no useful arguments for a voting s… (View Post)

What do Alex Chalk, Mims Davies, Neil Hudson and Chris Loder have in common? They're the only Tory MPs who don't have a Reform or Reform-endorsed SDP (there are some local deals where Reform endorsed… (View Post)

It's worth adding that the post-WWII period isn't unusual in this respect. It happened in 1945 (the short post-VE Day Con majority losing out to Attlee's Lab), but before that the last time was 1906,… (View Post)

Biden might resign two years into his second term (ie late enough that Harris would qualify for a second elected term) if he wants to put a finger on the scales of the 2028 Democratic primary in favo… (View Post)

Third. I think that Betfair are very happily looking at their vig and really won't want to shut down the market until they absolutely have to. My guess is that they will wait for the swing states to … (View Post)