Reform’s ceiling is quite difficult to predict. I think there’s a fair few people who would be Never Farage. He has too much Brexit baggage. So that would immediately limit them to 40% tops, I would … (View Post)

Hmm.. interested in your point re the by-elections. My gut feel is that they’ve done rather well, no? But willing to be told otherwise by the data. (View Post)

Let’s be honest though, she finds herself clarifying her words a lot. Kemi is a bit of a contradiction. On one hand she likes to play up her creds as this straight-talking, brave, out-of-the-box poli… (View Post)

Starmer is really going to come unstuck with stuff like this. His party didn’t come into government to talk tough on wielding the axe. And rightly and wrongly the voting public did not expect him to … (View Post)

And this is exactly where Labour had the opportunity and are fluffing it. People are not stupid. They know things aren’t working the way they want or need them to. Some of this is deeply structural a… (View Post)