Couple of days ago I posted some calcs on 1st time incumbency for the 28 seats Lab gained from Con in 2017 (Retained half of them and drop in share of vote roughly half of average for those that miss… (View Post)

Been looking at 1st time incumbency if anyone's interested! Labour took 28 seats from Con in 2017. In those, 24 had below average drop in Labour vote and only 4 higher. Average drop in all 28 was 4.3… (View Post)

Sure nobody cares but my thoughts on where we're going to end up! My starting point is why would anyone voting Cons or Labour in 2017 not vote for them in 2019. I know there is some churn but I think… (View Post)

Not with SPIN I'm afraid Big G! Thanks Pulpstar, so do you think they're just currently priced incorrectly? Also, 400 ups has disappeared. Was it you that recommended that one as well? Outskirts of W… (View Post)