On the betting front, 50/1 available on reform in Christchurch. Very white, old and conservative area. I can see Con slumping to the low 30s % and UKIP got 21.5% in 2015 50/1 looks great value (View Post)
Why hard to believe? Nus Ghani got 60% last time. The Conservatives are polling half their 2019 total. She's going to struggle to retain the seat on 30% of the vote (View Post)
Could this have any implications for which party is the official opposition? If its close between Con and LD, taking the whip away from a couple of bettors who were elected could hand LOTO to Davey. (View Post)