My "number crunching" was just applying some rules of thumb but back in September I said we'd reach 1,000 deaths a day again if the trends continued as I thought they would. Every day … (View Post)

Because all the numbers we look at are for things that happened in the past — so hospitalisations and deaths will rise for weeks to come — and all the measures we hope to use will have effects in the… (View Post)

I regularly say critical things about Boris Johnson, so I think it is only fair that I say that I thought he explained the situation and the goverment's response very well this evening. His tone… (View Post)

I'm not even joking, we live in an ever increasingly technological and scientifically driven world, and the people who legislate for and govern us are in many cases completely out of their depth. (View Post)

Because the government has already committed to keeping them open come what may, even though the evidence now says we should close them first. Will the government change their mind? Probably not, the… (View Post)