They can look at my bets on the Greens if they want. I bet on them because I thought they were going to win. I still think they are although I am not as confident as I was. I think that the Greens an… (View Post)

One has to think it is good value to bet on him to still be leader. How could Reform voters be more correct than those of any other party? (View Post)

Yes. Let's have a round of applause for the Lib Dems. (View Post)

Now we don't have a 2 party system any more, we can't go on using FPTP. Or does anyone think we are going back to a 2 party system,? Or that FPTP is a good system with lots of parties? The … (View Post)

I am a great fan of Bayes's theorem and have used it tio solve all sorts of problems. However I do find it hard to apply to lost things, and wonder if any of you can advise on this. As I get old… (View Post)