On my simulations that's about right or even on the generous side. But I must admit I haven't modelled ME2 properly and I have a feeling if that changes hands the tie is quite a bit more likely becau… (View Post)

Having traded in 18 markets on this election, I am just reviewing where I am with all of them. I will share a few thoughts, firstly hoping that someone may add some words of wisdom, but also to share… (View Post)

It is extremely unlikely. Much less than 1% chance in my opinion. How many simulations have you run to come to this conclusion? (View Post)

I think Harris will win and have bet accordingly. My final prediction is 308 to 230, with Harris winning all the swing states except Arizona, and getting much closer than expected to winning some of … (View Post)

Yes mine is on it's way too. Yet again we are not being offered a decent centrist candidate. I have been a member for at least 19 years and we never seem to get a good choice. I shall vote for Kemi b… (View Post)