I was born jn a country where fairness, common sense and tolerance usually prevailed. These days so often we seem to want to prosecute or persecute people who act in an anti-social or rude way. I wou… (View Post)

I am not convinced about a swing to Trump in Kentucky. Seems like almost bang on 2020 or a tiny swing to Harris. (View Post)

On my simulations that's about right or even on the generous side. But I must admit I haven't modelled ME2 properly and I have a feeling if that changes hands the tie is quite a bit more likely becau… (View Post)

Having traded in 18 markets on this election, I am just reviewing where I am with all of them. I will share a few thoughts, firstly hoping that someone may add some words of wisdom, but also to share… (View Post)

It is extremely unlikely. Much less than 1% chance in my opinion. How many simulations have you run to come to this conclusion? (View Post)