fencesitter2

Since lots of people are posting their predictions, here is mine: LAB 390 CON 160 LD 45 SNP 25 REF 6 Others 6 Rationale for the relatively "high" CON figure: In the "blue wall" la… (View Post)

Yes, but looking at the tables, most of those criteria wouldn't cause much change in the weighting. @Pulpstar has found the one that is making the difference: the recalled vote from the 2019 GE. In t… (View Post)

Looking at the data tables for this (available from here), the raw numbers are: LAB 160 LDM 64 CON 130 GRN 20 RFM 26 So there's some hefty weighting going on to arrive at the percentages above. Can a… (View Post)

Just to provide the verdict of a third model, the Economist reckons Bicester and Woodstock will be Con 32 Lab 30 LD 19 Ref 8 Green 7 ie that the lack of tactical voting (or confused tactical voting) … (View Post)

@BlancheLivermore 's musical recommendations are a great reason to come to PB at the moment. I'd never heard of Fanny, or Jenny and the Mexicats (another great discovery from a few days ago). Thank y… (View Post)