Possibly - I was surprised to see it reported. But its interesting that the number on ventilators has been falling - which suggests that those being hospitalised with Omicron are less seriously ill a… (View Post)

England hospital numbers: 06/01 16,058 07/01 16,163 08/01 16,034 New infections seem to be on a definite downward path with the peak being 29/12. Time to talk about removing restrictions. (View Post)

Well it certainly didn't in the case of the current Warwick model failure. And the "if we're right we're right and if we're wrong we're still right" lacks a little … (View Post)

Indeed. Its not just that the reality is so different from the middle forecast its that the reality is way lower than the huge prediction spread that the model gave. When you have a prediction betwee… (View Post)

Restrictions have been popular. Perhaps disturbingly so. For example: The majority of UK adults would support the idea of a two-week national lockdown starting in December to combat omicron, new poll… (View Post)