Well it certainly didn't in the case of the current Warwick model failure. And the "if we're right we're right and if we're wrong we're still right" lacks a little … (View Post)

Indeed. Its not just that the reality is so different from the middle forecast its that the reality is way lower than the huge prediction spread that the model gave. When you have a prediction betwee… (View Post)

Restrictions have been popular. Perhaps disturbingly so. For example: The majority of UK adults would support the idea of a two-week national lockdown starting in December to combat omicron, new poll… (View Post)

Its a safe Labour seat which the Conservatives have overachieved in at local elections because of an active local party - one of their councillors now being MP for Birmingham Northfield. Its not inne… (View Post)

Its easy to be 'public health first' when you expect someone else to provide the money and raise the taxes. (View Post)