No, it merely requires Harris to have considered the relative advantages and disadvantages of each candidate. Even with the hostility towards him from 'progressives' Shapiro was a strong candidate. (View Post)

Big events can have big effects. Biden's replacement by Harris was a big event with a big effect. If we get more big events then there might be more big effects. Otherwise not. (View Post)

I do wonder if Harris is more politically talented and ruthless than people have previously expected. Biden's removal happened in a timescale which has worked perfectly for her. (View Post)

Details: The UK economy grew by more than expected during 2022, as revised official data showed the economy did better in the face of soaring inflation and post-pandemic recovery than previously thou… (View Post)

Maybe. Or perhaps more like Thatcher - her replacement of Heath was a masterclass of making use of opportunities. (View Post)