TimT
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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » With Biden now looking doomed Buttigieg looks a value bet to w
The better calculation at this stage, rather than relying on cumulative numbers, is to see how many of those infected on day x are alive at day x+21. (View Post)2 -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Let’s talk about Islamophobia
Not taking a position on the video, which I have not seen, but I would challenge the blanket statement that facts are actual things. There are stimuli from the external environment to which we attach… (View Post)1 -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Can the Scottish Tories without Ruth Davidson hold onto most o
And a 2% change is MoE when going in the 'wrong' direction and evidence of a surge when going in the 'right' direction. (View Post)1 -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Can the Scottish Tories without Ruth Davidson hold onto most o
Anything fractal (e.g. trees, rivers, hills, mountains) is less depressing than uniformity or regularity. It seems to be something to do with the way the brian is wired. (View Post)2 -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » LAB’s leadership rules will limit the number of nominees and c
My experience on this site over the last 10 years is that the centre of political gravity on it swings around a fair bit, and perhaps mirroring the levels of optimism in the parties (i.e. more of the… (View Post)1