A 5% return in just over a week? (and potentially 40% in over a week?) – politicalbetting.comThis markets from Ladbrokes in my humble opinion represents a decent return in a short space of time. Whil… (View Post)

Brexit Effect: Summary and conclusions – politicalbetting.comThis is the final article in a series analysing the oft-cited NBER paper, which estimates that Brexit reduced the UK’s GDP by 6-8%, usuall… (View Post)

The Burnham surge – politicalbetting.comYesterday we saw some signficant moves on the next Prime Minister market, with Andy Burnham usurping second place from Ed Miliband and potentally usurping firs… (View Post)

Sir Keir Starmer’s ratings are under Water(gate) – politicalbetting.comThe Americans are starting to notice what’s happening to Keir Starmer.Pointed out here on CNN that Starmer is now less popular i… (View Post)

Why a change of leader might not help Labour – politicalbetting.comWould a potential Labour successor do a better job than Keir Starmer? % of Britons saying each potential alternative would be better… (View Post)