SirNorfolkPassmore
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Re: Election night guide – politicalbetting.com
He remembers the original, of course. Or at least he does on one of his good days. (View Post)2 -
Re: Election night guide – politicalbetting.com
Savanta, Opinium and We Think had them on 2% on basically the same polling dates, with Survation 3% and Norstat 4%. It's just that GB-wide polls are useless on SNP share. The margin of error is … (View Post)1 -
Re: Election night guide – politicalbetting.com
Do remember your dog will require photo ID to vote. Kennel Club membership card is acceptable. (View Post)1 -
Re: The fine line between a hung parliament and a total Tory wipeout – politicalbetting.com
I think the vertical is essentially a frequency plot, so the density of dots is the same throughout, secured by the bar getting fatter where there are a lot of seats involved. So 2017, say, has a fai… (View Post)1 -
Re: The fine line between a hung parliament and a total Tory wipeout – politicalbetting.com
"This election is expected to be much more marginal" "Expected" is doing a lot of work there. It seems to me that the Times has confused a statistical model with the real result. … (View Post)2