SirNorfolkPassmore
-
Re: The local elections – the broad trends so far – politicalbetting.com
Why? I don't know the new boundaries either, but the old South Swindon was only a 13% majority last time, so about a 6.5% swing, which isn't a shoo-in but wouldn't even be that close t… (View Post)1 -
Re: The local elections – the broad trends so far – politicalbetting.com
That's simply not what "populist" means, and there are very, very few politicians who don't try to be a bit relatable. A "populist" is someone who says you're being… (View Post)3 -
Re: The local elections – the broad trends so far – politicalbetting.com
Your main mistake there is a lot of councils that declare early elect in thirds (less to count, for a start) and the all-up ones tend to be later, so the number of declared Councils is a misleading m… (View Post)4 -
Re: The local elections – the broad trends so far – politicalbetting.com
I think your maths is wrong - almost exactly 1,000 formerly Tory seats declared so far and net loss running at 324. So looking more like 1,000 losses based on defending 3.365 total. If you're co… (View Post)3 -
Re: The local elections – the broad trends so far – politicalbetting.com
They certainly have more Tory seats. The Tories are defending 3,365 seats and a little under 1,000 have declared. Remember that those that elect in thirds tend to declare earlier than all up areas. (View Post)2