On topic, in 1991 the Conservatives led in quite a few polls (albeit Labour led in more, mostly with low single figure leads). In 2023, the Conservatives haven't led in ANY polls (indeed, I don&… (View Post)

Although you're probably right people exaggerate the relevance of localness in general, we're looking at an unusual election here where a very popular MP is stepping down and a lot of her v… (View Post)

I don't think Izzard will be selected, and Labour would be foolish to do so. Whilst the Green's collapse on the Council and Lucas' departure as MP gives them a great chance to re-take … (View Post)

Although I agree one needs to be cautious about GDP comparisons, I don't actually think in your example that would in fact add to GDP, as the income approach to GDP measurement I believe nets of… (View Post)

Very strong set of results for the Lib Dems in council by-elections yesterday. Gains from the Conservatives in Norfolk and East Sussex, and from Labour in Dudley. East Sussex potentially notable in c… (View Post)