In fairness, I think HYUFD's point is not that this would be a General Election target but that this IS a by-election and, pre-1997, Blair would've won and not given the Lib Dems a sniff st… (View Post)

My grandfather used to get through thirty Romfords a day, claiming he found Navy Cut too smooth a smoke. (View Post)

That's a sly dig. I'll have you know Winchester has a pretty well-regarded university. (View Post)

I'd quibble on several of these points. Firstly, the Tories have not really had good results "against the run of play" in local elections. The results in May were absolutely dire even … (View Post)

On topic, my view is that there is value in the betting on Tim Scott. He is a credible candidate, has done well in fundraising terms, and is significantly outperforming his national polls in early pr… (View Post)