Electoral Calculus is a nonsense which isn't at all based on local evidence, and there is no "sense of entitlement" involved in a party campaigning to win in a seat where they were a g… (View Post)

A problem with MRP is that the statistical models might be quite good overall, but they do completely wacky things on the margins. Good betting opportunity, though, as constituency markets open up. W… (View Post)

I don't see how bringing a thick as pig sh1t, hard right yob in as deputy chair of the party can go wrong for Sunak. It's a tried and tested tactic. (View Post)

On topic, I'm not actually sure recent events prove Cameron's old remark about Twitter correct. What Cameron had in mind, I think, was the casual, throwaway remark on Twitter. The careless … (View Post)

I'd have quite liked it if they'd gone for the slogan, "Bear the boats back ceaselessly into the past". (View Post)