PB's bed-wetters will sleep as well as they will moistly tonight. (View Post)

Yes, it is comforting that PB remains a beacon of predictability in an unstable world. (View Post)

My reason, ultimately, for thinking the Tory bridge will hold is that the Lib Dems in particular have been badly burned by over-targeting in recent elections. They will therefore be steered by a fair… (View Post)

I'd sell Lib Dem at that level. It's not beyond the realms of possibility but is top end of their targeting approach. I'd probably still buy Tory - suspect the bridge will just about h… (View Post)

Isn't the whole point of MRP that it doesn't imply a uniform swing, and is instead based on demographics, which might include greater switching by Leave voters as the impact of that unwinds… (View Post)