That feels to me as if they underestimate the possibility of systematic polling error (underweighting a pro-Trump constituency across the board), underestimate reversion to the mean (Trump fairly clo… (View Post)

Historically, they haven't. The gap has opened quite recently. One reason is that four of the five states to have moved to postal only voting are Democrat states, so by definition this shifts th… (View Post)

I do too! It's late October FFS. Let's get the pumpkins out of the way and think about poppies in a week or so. (View Post)

I just think all the diehard Pizza Hut fans out there need to move on. The guy chose Pizza Express - get over it. (View Post)

I know it's just a flippant comment and the counterfactual is all too remote to be sensible. But this poll doesn't suggest we would be a "swing state" as we'd be safer for Bi… (View Post)