Doesn't that depend on third party votes? He won on 46% versus 48% in 2016 and of course could win on something like that again, but 46% v 53% (say) would be a really huge ask. I know that, math… (View Post)

I disagree with HYFUD's reliance solely on a pollster that did well in 2016 but poorly in 2018. I've said before and I'll say again that, in a 'surprise' election the pollste… (View Post)

Some people react like that, but I think a lot of people (me included) simply say that although Moore undoubtedly wants the Democrats to win, his strategy for doing so probably isn't right and w… (View Post)

Isn't Moore's argument just a version of the Corbynist "focus on the core vote and driving up turnout among low turnout groups"? Clinton suffered both from low turnout among Democ… (View Post)

The basic point that Kinabalu is making seems fair, though. Is it really as or more embarrassing to be a Trump supporter in 2020 than 2016? It seems to me lines have been drawn in the culture war and… (View Post)