In reality, all five of those look likely to go to the vote leader. Alaska would take Begich voters acting VERY differently to the special election. The first two California ones are GOP seats where … (View Post)

The most striking thing about this Budget is how far it is the polar opposite of that put forward by the same party less than two months ago. That really stark, unreconciled schism is a huge problem … (View Post)

There was a time when smaller was preferred. Nobody wanted to be seen with a huge, unsightly bulge in their trousers. All different now, I'm afraid. I hate seeing people getting them out and pla… (View Post)

I'm not a Labour supporter but, if I were, I'd note that the mismatch between polling and betting indicates that, while punters may be sceptical about Starmer, voters aren't. And I… (View Post)

Not sure that's right. Firstly, Uxbridge requires a 7.5% swing for Labour to win. Leaving aside that he has an okay chance of overperforming uniform national swing (Labour people will pile in, b… (View Post)