Wouldn't really be against the head as Putney was for Labour, though, as he did win Florida in 2016 whereas Putney was the one Labour gain. I suppose Trump could do better than average in Florid… (View Post)

I support neither Brexit nor Scottish independence, but your logic is totally wrong. It isn't in the slightest bit difficult to argue for "short term pain, long term gain" in one but n… (View Post)

A mistake by Team Trump to continually talk down Biden's ability to think on his feet, I think, as it sets him up to outperform expectations in the forthcoming debates. If I were them, at this s… (View Post)

On topic, I think I'd buy Biden at 281. The reason is not that I am massively confident in Biden winning the Presidency (he's favourite but only narrowly) but that, in the context of spread… (View Post)

Ironically, it's potentially good news for Trump in a sense if his leads in states that aren't going to be pivotal are fairly small as it suggests his vote nationally is efficiently distrib… (View Post)