I'd say this Government is bad with this, but it's hardly new. There are various versions of the old "three envelopes" joke. But a pretty common one is that the new minister goes … (View Post)

He doesn't necessarily need to do better than Clinton on national lead, although it would plainly be much better for his chances if he did. It is true that, on average, the electoral college wor… (View Post)

You're making quite a courageous assumption about how predictive IQ is of electoral success. (View Post)

Alastair has not put a number on "all those people who needlessly died with Covid-19 owing to the government’s negligence" and I didn't read it as suggesting every excess death this ye… (View Post)

Interestingly - and caution subsamples - the group that has seen a substantial move in the past week have been over 65s, where crossover has occurred: Approve 40% (-5) Disapprove 44% (+6) Granny not … (View Post)