SirNorfolkPassmore
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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Unpicking the presidential election forecasts
I disagree with HYFUD's reliance solely on a pollster that did well in 2016 but poorly in 2018. I've said before and I'll say again that, in a 'surprise' election the pollste… (View Post)1 -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The polling continues to look solid for Biden
Some people react like that, but I think a lot of people (me included) simply say that although Moore undoubtedly wants the Democrats to win, his strategy for doing so probably isn't right and w… (View Post)1 -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The polling continues to look solid for Biden
Isn't Moore's argument just a version of the Corbynist "focus on the core vote and driving up turnout among low turnout groups"? Clinton suffered both from low turnout among Democ… (View Post)2 -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Trump’s describes as “fake news” his WH2016 comments that John
The basic point that Kinabalu is making seems fair, though. Is it really as or more embarrassing to be a Trump supporter in 2020 than 2016? It seems to me lines have been drawn in the culture war and… (View Post)1 -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Trump’s describes as “fake news” his WH2016 comments that John
Wouldn't really be against the head as Putney was for Labour, though, as he did win Florida in 2016 whereas Putney was the one Labour gain. I suppose Trump could do better than average in Florid… (View Post)1