Again, if they are calling Harpenden early, that's positive for LDs as the exit poll said nail-biter - 53% probability LD, 47% probability Tory. Esher is no surprise. (View Post)

If true, that is very positive - it was in the exit poll as an almost complete toss up - 53% likelihood Tory, 47% Lib Dem. So it was essentially 0.5 of a seat in the LD projected 61. (View Post)

I don't think it should frighten them at all. I'd rather be a Labour MP with RefUK in second than the Tories (or indeed Lib Dems or Greens) in second. Lower ceiling. (View Post)

It's a very weird period in coverage of any election. After the excitement of the exit poll, there is essentially fuck all in terms of substance for about four hours. Always happens. (View Post)

This is nuts, I'm afraid. The split on the right isn't a warning for Labour - it is fantastic news for Labour. (View Post)