That's the wildcard of RefUK. Exit poll had them nearly certain to win Barnsley and they lost badly... and under 50% chance of Ashfield, and they won well. Suspect that reflects ground game, though. … (View Post)

Nope... it was mis-stated. This was Harrogate. Ignore it. (View Post)

Eastleigh a Lib Dem gain... but with a warning. Labour up and a fairly narrow win even though exit poll gave a 99% chance. It's always been a decent enough area for Labour, but LDs will need to do be… (View Post)

STOP. THE. COUNT. (View Post)

That Barnsley result is enormous. The exit poll was miles out... 99% chance of RefUK gain and they were nowhere near. (View Post)