SirNorfolkPassmore
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Re: Why lost LAB and LD deposits tonight would be bad news for CON – politicalbetting.com
Firstly, it may well be that betting markets have overcorrected. But that doesn't mean it's all narrative and no facts. JonWC saying he's seen relatively little activity is interesting… (View Post)1 -
Re: The June 23rd by-elections – what happened at GE2019 – politicalbetting.com
Worth bearing in mind Mike's key point about un-coalition-ability... to form a Government, Tories essentially need a majority (or very close to it), whereas Labour do not. This is the issue with… (View Post)1 -
Re: The June 23rd by-elections – what happened at GE2019 – politicalbetting.com
The two seats were lost on swings of 11.4% (K&D to the Lib Dems) and 3.6% (Langbaurgh to Labour). Indeed, the latter swing wasn't all that much larger than the 2% General Election swing to L… (View Post)2 -
Re: Half of CON voters say Johnson behaves unerthically – politicalbetting.com
This is a good point. Like Trump, Johnson relies to a very significant degree on, "Yes, of course he's a sh1t, but they all are, and at least he's our sh1t". A significant part of… (View Post)4 -
Re: The Tories still favorite to win most General Election seats – politicalbetting.com
The point is somewht moot in this case as it is being published. However, the answer is "yes, but". As a general point, anything can be "FOI-d", but your real question is whether … (View Post)2