Firstly, it never really suits a candidate to be behind. It's just the sort of thing people who are behind say. On your examples, Leave was ahead in several polls running up to polling day in 20… (View Post)

Isn't that largely because the Elabe poll was of actual viewers, so had a far lower undecided rate (2% rather than 28%, I think)? With the OpinionWay poll, it's all voters so you'd exp… (View Post)

Absolutely. And to be clear, I'm not against being nice to donkeys... it's just that they have an appeal to donors which isn't really in proportion and people might think of less popul… (View Post)

Pensioners in particular absolutely love donkeys. Donkey sanctuaries receive a level of bequests in wills that is totally out of proportion to the extent of the problem. The reason is fairly obviousl… (View Post)

It's incredibly hard to predict how a notional Starmer Government might be viewed in 2028. How's the economy looking? Many sleaze scandals? Any wars? Who's the Tory leader? Fun to spec… (View Post)