I think the variability is almost exactly the same because both are determined by lunar calendars. So the maximum difference between earliest and latest is essentially a lunar month (but a shade more… (View Post)

I tend to agree with you that the argument is making a mountain out of a molehill. However, I've never heard Easter used as a synonym for the end of Spring... indeed, it's always in early S… (View Post)

It is on exactly the same day it always has been, namely the first Sunday after the first full moon occurring on or after the Spring Equinox. Everyone knows that - it's simple, clear, and there&… (View Post)

Firstly, it never really suits a candidate to be behind. It's just the sort of thing people who are behind say. On your examples, Leave was ahead in several polls running up to polling day in 20… (View Post)

Isn't that largely because the Elabe poll was of actual viewers, so had a far lower undecided rate (2% rather than 28%, I think)? With the OpinionWay poll, it's all voters so you'd exp… (View Post)